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The BTC price is probably recovered as their long -term holders return to the market

Bitcoin (BTC) on the right way to finish the Q1 with its worst performance since 2019. Without unexpected recovery, BTC can close the quarter with a decrease of 25 % of its highest level (ATH).

Some analysts have noticed that experienced bitcoin holders turn into a stage of accumulation, indicating a possible growth in the medium term.

Signs that veteran investors accumulate again

According to Axeladlerjr, March 2025 Signs A transitional period where veteran investors move from selling to retention and accumulation. This shift is reflected in the measuring of the destroyed value days (VDD), which is still low.

VDD is an indication of the chain that tracks the investor’s behavior by measuring the number of days that remains Bitcoin not affected before its treatment.

The high VDD indicates that the oldest bitcoin is transferred, which may indicate the pressure pressure of whales or long -term holders. The low VDD indicates that most of the transactions include those in the short term, who have a smaller impact on the market.

BTC: The value days are destroyed. Source: Cryptoquant.
BTC: The value days are destroyed. source: Cryptoquant

Historically, low VDD periods are often preceded by strong price pools. These stages indicate that investors accumulate Bitcoin with expectations of price increase in future. Axeladlerjr concludes that this shift indicates Bitcoin’s capabilities of medium growth.

“The transfer of experienced players to the stage (accumulation) carries the possibility of increasing the growth of BTC in the medium term,” Axladlerjr Propagate.

The percentage of risk in the sales aspect of Bitcoin reaches a decrease

At the same time, analyst Ali High Another bullish indicator: The risk rate on the sales aspect of Bitcoin decreased to 0.086 %.

Rish ratio by sales. Source: Glassnode
Rish ratio by sales. source: Glassnode

According to Ali, over the past two years, every time this percentage is less than 0.1 %, Bitcoin has seen a strong recovery of prices. For example, in January 2024, Bitcoin rose to the highest level each time at $ 73,800 after the risk ratio decreased to the sale side to less than 0.1 %.

Likewise, in September 2024, Bitcoin reached a new peak after this scale reached a low level.

A mixture of veteran investors accumulating bitcoin and a sharp decline in the risk of the sale side is positive signals of the market. However, a recent analysis of Beincrypto warns of technical patterns, with death starting.

In addition, investors are still cautious about possible market fluctuations in early April. The uncertainty stems from the next President Trump’s announcement of a major retaliatory tariff.

Disintegration

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