The current Bitcoin (BTC) market, which is defined as 20 % or more than the highest level ever, is relatively weak in size and should only last for 90 days, according to the market analyst and his book author Metcalfe Law as a Bitcoin value modelTimothy Peterson.
Peterson comparison The current recession to the previous ten bear markets, which occurs almost once a year, and said only four bear markets were worse than low prices, including 2018, 2021, 2022 and 2024.
The analyst expects that BTC will not drown lower than the price level of $ 50,000 due to the basic adoption trends. However, Peterson also argued that based on momentum, BTC is unlikely to be broken to less than $ 80,000. The analyst added:
“There may be a segment in the next thirty days, followed by a 20-40 % gathering at some time after April 15. You can see that in the diagrams on the 120th day. This may be enough from the main address to return the weak hands to the market and push bitcoin upward.”
The encryption markets witnessed a sharp contraction in the wake of the tariff for the President of the United States, Trump on many trade partners in the United States, which sparked anti -export conflicts, which led to fears of a long trade war.
Comparison of all the bear market since 2025. Source: Timothy Peterson
Related to: Will Bitcoin go to $ 65,000? Merchants explain why they are still landing
Investors escape the assets of risk due to the fears of the trade war
The investor’s appetite for speculative assets is decreased due to the ongoing trade war and total economic certainty.
Glassnode metricThe BTC scale for a week or less, from 5.9 % among the historic Taurus Rally in November 2024 to only 2.3 % from March 20.
According to Nanson Nikolai Sondargard research analyst, encryption markets will face pressure in the trade war until April 2025, when international negotiations may reduce or spread commercial tariffs completely.
A recent analysis from Cryptoquant also shows that the majority of retail merchants are already invested in BTC, and contemplates a long hope that the huge rush of retail traders pumps fresh capital in the markets and pays their prices in the short term. The trade war also put a secure resort to Bitcoin in doubt, as the price of decentralized assets collapsed on tariff headlines along with other risks and speculative. magazine: Bitcoiners is “All in” on Trump since Bitcoin ’24, but it becomes risky. This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each step includes investment and risk trading, and readers must conduct their own research when making a decision.
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