Toncoin (tons)The original encrypted currency of the open network, in a standardization stage in the context of the uninterrupted global market. As of July 7, 2025, at 09:31 Cet, the price of TON 2.83 USDT (Source: Coingecko), A decrease of -3.4 % on a weekly basis but is still positive by +14.6 % compared to a month ago. The maximum market is $ 6.99 billion.
On the total front, the feelings of investors remain cautious due to the recent geopolitical geopolitical turmoil in Asia and the United States of America and Chinese tensions on technological and monetary policies, as well as US presidential elections expectations. In the encryption sector, the industry is affected by bitcoin volatility after its attention in half and the organizational attention of the European Union.
Technical analysis and historical trend of the tonn (ton)
Main data:
- Price: 2.83 USDT
- The maximum market: $ 6.99 billion
- Volume 24H: 773 MLN USD
- Rsi Daily: 48 (neutral area, without peak/excessive sale)
- Macd Daily: Near zero (the siege between the bull and the bear)
- Average volatility (ATR 14D): 0.18 USDT (average daily domain)
- The last maximum level: 3.16 USDT (absolutely high: 4.95 USDT, April 2025)
- Recently low: 2.34 USDT
- Unification range (box domain): 2.65 – 3.12 USDT for about three weeks
- ADX (14D): 19 (the weak direction but it is possible to enhance)
- Volumes: a slight increase, but there is no volume in the last 5 days
- A set of folders/POC: 2.78-2.90 USDT (the maximum exchange area on the daily time frame)
Technical patterns and side movements: The June price procedure to July shows a clear horizontal range between 2.65 and 3.12 USDT, with frequent tests for both parties. There are no noticeable reflection patterns (there is no clear head or rising/riding triangles), but the pressure pressure feeds the expectation of imminent outbreak.
the RSI on the daily time frameStable between 42 and 53, indicates a lack of abuses – the market accumulates. MACD, practically flat in the neutral area, confirms that there is no clear directional momentum.
On the weekly graph, the main support structure is located in 2.40-2.50 USDT, which is the “real line in the sand” that buyers have been defending since last May. The main resistance remains at 3.12-3.18 USDT, which then opens the spaces towards recovering historical levels. The sizes, concentrated in the 2.78-2.90 USDT box, reflects the presence of many open parking: it can stimulate a clear fracture of this level of impulsive movements.
The latest/collapse: the last penetration date that the volumes confirmed dates back to the second half of June, with a quick transition from 2.34 to 3.16 USDT (+35 % in 10 days), then followed by a noticeable phase of side correction. Since then, there has been no major escape.
The visual excerpt of the main levels of the daily (peace):
- Basic Daily Support: 2.65 USDT
- Daily/weekly checkpoint: 2.78-2.90 USD
- Daily Resistance: 3.12 USDT
- Main Resistance: 3.40-3.50 USDT
A basic context and the chain
- The ecosystem of the ton continues to attract attention thanks to the recent partnerships with Telegram and Defi DAPS growth (TVL at a slightly height, +8 % last month).
- Increase in transactions/day, with tops about NFT events and games
- Road Map 2025: Laying Solutions Layer 2 (Q3) and strengthening the asset bridge across the chain
A short and average scenario
In the short term (days/week):
- Main support levels: 2.65 and 2.50 USDT
- Intermediate Resistance: 2.90 USDT, the daily closure will be above this level, the first power signal
- Main Resistance: 3.12 USDT
If Ton has broken with higher storage units than 2.90 USDT, we can see a rapid extension towards the upper resistance.
The medium term (2-4 weeks):
- The 2.65 collapse is likely to lead to a declining acceleration of about 2.35-2.40 USD
- A stable recovery on 3.12 USDT would liberate an area to try 3.40-3.50 USDT
Expected patterns: classic patterns are invisible, but the fluctuation pressure emerges: it is usually an introduction to decisive movements (“pressure”). Watch out for any size mutations on Hopouts Box Range.
Toncoin prices (tons)
Taurus scenario: exceeding the convincing weekly closure volumes of more than 3.12 USDT, to display a ton towards a short-term goal at 3.40 USDT, with the possibility of testing towards the annual altitudes (3.90-4.20 USDT).
Detamental scenario: Loss 2.65 USDT per day and confirmation with storage units, opening about 2.35-2.40 USDT, with a risk of more deepening in the case of the general deterioration of the encryption market or new total tensions.
Personal predictions (this is not a financial advice): The current artistic structure indicates a balance between buyers and sellers. However, the growth in the basics of the ecosystems of the ton, which is enhanced by the partnerships with Telegram and the good performance of the piece, represents a somewhat favorable scenario to recover from the bull, which prevents external shocks. The penetration above 3.12 appears to be more likely by July.
Conclusion and final suggestions
Toncoin shows a complex, but promising technical structure, with clear accumulation levels and many situations ready to move direction in a sign of the collapse or the following collapse. Improving the basics and a reliable road map promoting long -term appeal. However, the volatility is still high: you should seriously consider the standard stop of 2.50 USDT.
Attention: This analysis is not a financial advice. We encourage readers to always make their risk assessments and manage positions with discipline.
sources: Coingecko (prices), ton data ton, brave research research, tradingview plans
