Rising fears escalate with warning signs:

Wall Street is escalating with increasing speculation about the recession, as economists define many indicators that indicate an imminent economic shrinkage.

What happened: According to a report, Goldman Sachs The possibility of recession in the next 12 months raised from 15 % to 20 %. A survey from March Bank of America Pile It has shown that 55 % of the fund managers believe that the global recession resulting from a commercial war as the main risks of the market.

Consumer expectations for stagnation in the next year have also increased to their peak for a period of nine months, according to the last survey of the consumer confidence conducted by the Conference Council, Reports From the inside.

Economist David Rosenberg Continue is expected in the next few months, with a highlight of many signs of warning against the struggling economy.

Rosenberg refers to many disturbing signs including American families fighting to keep up with inflation, increase debt, small and medium shares, and reject corporate profits directions.

“If the past is before, the recession that no one believes will be achieved its ugly head early in July,” Rosenberg said.

Also read: The American economy swings? The recession may be waving on the horizon as the bond market interacts with Trump’s policies

Families are increasingly able to deal with emergency expenses, with the latest survey of consumer expectations from the Federal Reserve in New York, indicating that only 63 % of American families can manage a sudden bill of $ 2000.

This is the lowest percentage since Q4 2015, according to the analysis through Global Administration Apollo APO. Moreover, the total family debt increased by $ 93 billion in the fourth quarter, which achieved a record $ 18 trillion.

Small and medium stocks are also struggling, as ETF has a small value of ISHARES S & P Small-CAP 600 by 16 % of the November and S&P MIDCAP 400 by 13 % from the top of November.

Companies like Wal Mart WMTand goal TGTAnd FEDEX FDX Their guidelines have reduced this year, as about 70 % of companies attributed the possible negative expectations this year to uncertainty about new policies and definitions.

Finally, bond investors explain more risks of payment in the coming years. Credit differences increased significantly last month, indicating investors’ expectation of greater risk of companies who are struggling to pay off debt.

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