Billionaire Rai Dalio says investors should monitor one index index amid total economic uncertainty.
On a new topic on the social media platform X, Ray Dalio Hedge Fund Director He says If the federal reserve reduces interest rates too much, this may lead to more economic difficulties, and merchants must monitor the return curve of the Federal Reserve.
According to Dalio, a group of long rates that rise, may spoil the dollar in the value and rise in the troublesome gold.
“The federal reserve is in a very difficult situation because it tries to balance the benefits of reducing interest rates by maintaining the value of money. At the present time, there is a great deal of uncertainty throughout the economy, as well as a decline in morale.
Collect this with political pressures and the facts of the next debt service payments, and you have a value that opposes this money. So the changes in monetary policy – especially if the reduction is very aggressive – can lead to a period of extreme anxiety.
My advice: Watch the return curve. If you see long rates in a rise with the declining movement in the dollar and rise from gold, you will know that there is a movement outside the bonds. Because the value of money is often concerned. ”
The return curve is a graphic fee that shows interest rates (yield) for American treasury papers through various benefits, from short -term bills to long -term bonds. It reflects the market expectations about future interest rates and economic conditions, and are closely monitored by the Federal Reserve and the Market.
Earlier this week, Dalio warned against trading the most popular Meme shares as it must be overcome.
“These memes are usually due to a mixture of extrapolation of what happened before and emotional considerations. Also, most investors usually do not take market prices.
In other words, they tend to determine what was a great investment (for example, a company that strongly leads) as large, and does not pay enough attention to its prices, although its prices (whether cheap or expensive) are the most important thing. “
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