The next industrial revolution? maybe. A simple test of 1950 will tell us soon. And if so – what will all doctors, lawyers and pristrams unemployed? This is one suggestion.
“Siri, will you take my job?”
“I’m sorry, I don’t want to answer this question. Is there anything else I can do for you today?”
Technology is mainly a batch of efficiency. What has been done with more (time and resources) – can now be done less. Do you need to make a copy of a book? Months of the writer, seconds on a printing press. Do you need to move from Rome to New York? Board weeks, plane hours. If the change is large enough – in the expansion and depth (the number of affected persons and the amount of resources reserved) – technological improvement can be considered a revolution *.
* It works in the other direction as well. If the technological improvement is not significant enough – the companies that they provide will fail. People do not change the habits for a simple improvement. Small circles are definitely small, do not go beyond and can register compared to the CD, but … I will wait for the iPod.
The time for “liberation” also means that people who pay for that time (their work and acquire their capabilities) are now “free.” It is a nice way to say “outside the job.” On the sunny side – new jobs are also created. If technology is essential enough – full new ecosystems. Think about traveling, computers, and the Internet.
When the change is gradual – professions will die at the speed that their occupants retire or manage a professional shift. When the change is very rapid – it may result from social disorders (by increasing inequality between those who have capital and depend on their work). Dark times in history are attributed to such changes – so let’s hope not to face one.
Now that you get your attention and sleep at night, let’s discuss artificial intelligence. How will we know whether it was a “revolution” or “delirium”? What are the new ecosystems/systems that will appear? Will the big money be earned in new courageous ways?
How do you know if artificial intelligence is really revolution
We have a short memory and have never listened to the history category.
Otherwise, it is difficult to explain the cries of “Stop AGI before it is too late!” And “Stock Nvidia Chips und under your Cyps!” When should we actually turn into “artificial intelligence again? Really?” It was artificial intelligence to change the world early in the fifties. Then in the sixties of the last century, the seventies were crossed, in the 1980s, he appeared again in the nineties, then 2000s and finally now. Certainly – “this time is different” – due to the new algorithms, the amount of data and computer power as it has not happened before. But is it really? We do not see mobs from doctors, lawyers, teachers, and programmers who stormed server farms with burned torches, signs, headphones and keyboard.
How can we know? Fortunately – there is a test from 1950. Torring test. If the current artificial intelligence will pass it – it is likely to follow a major change. The TURING test requires that a “thing” hidden cannot tell the difference between the response device to the violence and the person of response. When this happens – according to the test – the device is “smart”. I will take it a step forward – then any The person will have a file conversation With the “thing” and will not be able to know if the other side is Knowing A person or machine – we have arrived. Why “any”, “conversation” and “on the knowledge of”? Since without expertand refine and fact There is no real value.
Are we there? not yet. The winter of the new artificial intelligence may reach before reaching there. The amount of data, computer energy, algorithm – may not be ready. Artificial intelligence will be a great feature-such as searching for automatic automatic feeding algorithms. It is useful, it generates a lot of money – but it is not a social revolution. Remember “deep blue”.
AGI and Paperclip the end of the world is not really possible. The algorithms are not even aimed at there (we do not know the location of the target). The intelligence of “hope” will appear “automatically from the Torring test is a little naive. Perhaps if we spray a little dopamine on graphics processing units …
But let’s imagine that the Torring test will be passed within a year from now. The doctor is able to conduct an in -depth medical discussion with “something” and will not be able to know if it is a machine or an counterpart. The device will actually make less errors than a person who provides a recommendation and treatment recommendation. You will be able to teach you Japanese while moving. You will be able to describe what the program should do and will be operated on your device.
At this stage – the study for years, work and shipping hundreds of dollars per hour for all people – will stop the logic of these occupations. But this is only half of the Torring equation.
A person who has questions – the need for diagnosis, legal consultations, the idea of the program, the desire to learn or travel to a foreign country – still exists.
These are all different tasks. These tasks are carried out for different people with different tastes, at different times. The Australian server in her twenties is not the same as a retired Japanese engineer – even if they both ask for travel suggestions.
Enter the accompanying design.
What is the accompanying design?
“Brahhhhhhhh! Surf’s Up on South Beach! Rolling 60 to One!
“It is true that the group in White is more than the Blaue Reiter, but I think you will find it interesting. Do you want me to give you a quick overview of the business and why it collects it together?”
“Nan!
When artificial intelligence passes the turning test – we will want to interact with it as we do with people. And while we interact (different people) with different people in different ways – as well as our desire. We will want our travel companion to match our preference for intense winter sports, and we have appeared in terms of evidence, equipment, insurance and weather. We prefer to know what is the difference between the frame, the plate, the railway, and in the connections without the need for “polishing”. In the context of the work – we assume that he knows what DAU, CTR and CLTV will be used in the right context.
In other words, we want our comrades to be “culturally harmonious”. Someone will need to create these companions. Artificial intelligence will not be able to guess you and how you prefer interacting in every context.
Skills required for the accompanying design
The associated design will be a mixture of product management, product design, psychology, sociology, cultural studies and art. It will be the profession of building a personality for the machine.
Companions that are seized from Chaperone users through their duties-in a way that will be effective and enjoyable. This is where all the capabilities mentioned above will enter into force. An interesting development in the history of human education – the humanities that take the front stage again.
Due to the presence of many sub -cultures, each person specializes at any time (a technical person can have a very specific taste in music and fashion) and moves between them over time (a new choice, progress in hobbies, changing tastes, experimenting with new things, changing the family state, and profession) there will be large personalities that must be expressed.
Firstly – there will be Source. Wide collections of data. Some goals (such as the Internet) and some are personal (such as chats, email messages, photos and interests on social media, where we go and what we see).
then The Companions will need to be able to contact these gatherings – and they will do so through Artificial intelligence gates. These gates – which today pass by names like ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, Meta Ai and Siri (joking. But maybe something new in June) – is what makes the non -structured data that is fed.
then – There will be a companion or Literal construction tools (Comfortable is both abbreviated on CBT) – similar to the user interface design tools today (Figma, Sketch). They will allow the “design” of the companion’s character. Language, terminology, colloquial, position – and knowledge that will derive its help.
finally – The Companions will need to be Deployed In the wild.
- They will become Part of the current tools – Travel and Politics Fashion Companions in Instagram and Twitter.
- It will be designed to a specific project Needs-Toyota engineer known in the South African Factory Manufacturing Hall.
- “Ride” will be above The target is mixed with subjectivity Sources-Digital families, your marathon coach, your geography teacher, your designer, your dating advisor, your implant improvement guide.
- Be Standing alone Companions – someone to talk to him without judgment or demands.
The operation of these tools (with the help of AIS working in making technical tasks) are the accompanying designers. They will understand the human need, build a companion’s personality to answer and connect her with the sources he requires in order to succeed in her job.
Show me money!
To maintain the “cleanliness” of the accompanying agent from the commercial intention (unlike paid search results) – it cannot have interested parties to discredit them with the user. But this does not mean that he cannot earn money. To achieve both of them-you need to “close” the money deal “after” the recommendation (where to go on vacation, which reserves it, and what clothes should be purchased, that is, an apartment for rental).
Little travel may seem over time, but there is already a company that works in a similar way. Amazon. Under certain circumstances, Amazon does not care about what the converted visitor bought (so that the reference can be completely neutral). She earns money from everything, so it pays the committee regardless. In the case of Amazon, it is simple – it is the store of everything, but the world is still a little larger and then their warehouses. How will the Companions make money?
They will register as customized subsidiaries. Every time they point to a company – they will negotiate through the processing company and attribute the aforementioned customer. Without closing the deal in advance or “favorite merchants” with the comrade.
Think about it as a hotel. Those who are really concerned with knowing the preferences of its customers. Then give a perfect personal recommendation. They call forward reservations and before they are suspended directly-they ask the place to put their name next to the customer’s name. “Mr. Konsagerg pointed out.”
They will come to collect later.
It is a cover. Torring, Companions, Money
If artificial intelligence passes the professional Tury test soon, we will need to be able to give him a personality. Customer -related personality in the context of their various needs. It will be designed by human professionals, and members of a new craft that understands people, needs and culture. It will give an amazing value with earning a large money for its creator.
The future is not dark after all.
But first we have a small test to pass it. If we fail, we have returned to the refrigerator – next to Blockchain jar.
