Goldman Sachs says an opportunity for stagnation within a year to 35 %, says Trump’s tariff to cause high inflation: Report
Goldman Sachs, the Goldman Sachs, believes that US President Donald Trump’s tariff can rise.
Goldman Sachs believe that inflation, with the exception of food and energy prices (basic PCE enlargement), will reach 3.5 % this year, and one and a half point from the US Federal Reserve 2 %, CNBC. Reports.
This number was 2.8 % in February, according to Economic Analysis Office.
The Financial Services Company also believes that economic growth will be weak and unemployment will increase from 4.1 % to 4.5 %. Goldman Sachs estimates that there is 35 % chance of recession in the next 12 months, which is a 15 % jump of its latest forecast.
Trump says this Wednesday, April 2, “will be”.Liberation Day in America“When the customs tariffs are slapped on countries around the world. Customs duties are taxes on imported goods paid by the imported country.
However, the Trump administration has sent Mixed signals About the severity of these upcoming definitions.
Goldman Sachs expects that Trump will announce 15 % medium tariffs in all trading partners in the United States, despite the company Expected “Product and country exceptions to easily rid the addition to the average tariff rate in the United States to 9PP (percentage points).”
In an interview on Sunday morning on Sunday morning, Trump refused to exclude the possibility of recession.
“I hate prediction of such things. There is a period of transition because what we do is very large. We are returning wealth to America. This is a big thing, and there are always periods …
It takes some time. It takes some time, but I think it should be great for us. I mean, I think it should be great …
What I have to do is building a strong country. You cannot really see the stock market. If you look at China, they have a hundred -year perspective, then we go to quarters. You can’t go to it, you have to do what is true. What we do is building a tremendous basis for the future. “
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