Goldman Sachs raises the risk of American recession to 35 %, and inflation is expected by 3.5 % in 2025 amid uncertain uncertainty: The economist, Muhammad Al -Iryan, highlights the most prominent thing to “Invesco QQq Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ: QQQ)
Allianz Senior Economist Advisers Muhammad Al -Irian The most prominent major shift in Goldman Sachs“The expectations for the American economy, noting that the investment bank gave its economic expectations” stagnation. “
What happenedAl -Aryan noted that X is that Goldman Sachs experts have added a “stagnation” to their American economic outlook.
He highlighted that the company raised inflation predictions in its personal consumption of 2025-the preferred scale of the Federal Reserve-by 0.5 percentage points to 3.5 %, while GDP growth slows to 1.0 % based on a quarter of a quarter.
Goldman Sachs increased the possibility of American recession from 20 % to 35 %, Erien notes, an increase of 75 %.
This revised view comes amid broader economic concerns. S & P 500, follow it The SPDR S & P 500 ETF TRUST spy The US dollar index has decreased simultaneously, an unprecedented pattern since the 2008 financial crisis, indicating potential economic instability.
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Why do it matterThe feelings of the market are still cautious with the decrease in futures on Sunday night, while investors are preparing for the presidency Donald TrumpThe expected “Tahrir Day” tariff ads to be held on April 2.
The main indicators are preparing to end March with sharp declines, with a decrease in spying 6.27 %, SPDR Download Jones Industrial ETF Dia 5.15 % decrease, and Invesco QQQ Trust QQq A decrease of 8.09 %.
While Goldman Sachs increased the recession expectations, Pimco Maintains a similar view, with the administrative director Tiffany Wilding They mentioned that they see a chance of stagnation 30-35 %. However, Wilding added that they expect any “light” stagnation and the economy “will come out of it relatively quickly.”
Al -Arian indicated that this week will be full of major economic reports, including monthly recruitment data, job openings, employment circulation, the institute’s commercial activity index, and retail sales numbers.
In addition, the markets will see the tariff announcement on April 2 and statements by the President of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell And other officials.
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