Why Goldman Sachs believe that spy shares can decrease by 20 % of here
the S&P 500 indicator Celebrate now 20 % recovery Since its lowest levels during the so -called “Editing Day,” When President Trump launched the first round of Commercial definitions With every major commercial partner deals with the United States, creating great fluctuations and uncertainty in all fields. Despite the last gathering of construction from a A successful agreement between the United States and ChinaSome believe that this will be short -term.
SPDR S & P 500 ETF TRUST today

SPDR S & P 500 ETF TRUST
As of 05/13/2025 04:10 pm
- 52 weeks
- 481.80 dollars
▼
613.23 dollars
- Profit
- 1.22 %
- Assets under management
- 598.83 billion dollars
After approval of a status a Hold 90 days on these definitionsThe world’s largest economies gave the stock market a second wind, especially for bullies.
However, Goldman Sachs strategies, including Peter Obenheimer, a strategic expert for fairnessSPDR S & P 500 ETF TRUST NYSEARCA: Spy It faces enough tail risk to decrease by up to 20 % of the current levels. Instead of reply recklessly, investors may benefit from reviewing their analysis.
These strategists provide a good issue against the S&P 500. Investors may find links between their analysis and their movements in other major assets categories, including Ishaares 20+ Treasury ETF ETF Nasdak: tlt And some big names in the technology sector, such as Nafidia Company Nasdak: nvda. Some of these suitable concerns work to move forward.
The main cause of a decrease
Senior economists in Goldman, Jean HatziusI reported that he is He sees up to a 45 % possibility From the US economy, it is in the recession cycle, and the reasons behind this view are rooted in an extreme basic view. Despite stopping 90 days in these definitions between the United States and China, today The tariff of residue (Not only with China) It is still much higher than it was just six months ago.
Because of this Global economic opposite windsPayed by definitions, Arrow profits (EPS) In the broader S&P 500, a sufficient decrease can be set to threaten the evaluation levels today in the financial markets. This is exactly where the next column comes at this thesis: Assessments.
the The price ratio to the profits in NVIDIA shares I diverged greatly from the stock price during the past quarter, which is never a good sign. Since these evaluation complications are less than the share price, investors can somewhat assume that the market has started to deduct future profits of the share for some reason.
Waiting to find out what the cause is often incredible, and fighting this topic can be summarized Assuming that they know something that the market does not knowWhich also turns out to be a sterile endeavor most of the time.
More than just targeting NVIDIA, global financial markets appear Stay away from the danger and the most secure assets instead of. This is when investors can withdraw a scheme of gold or SPDR Gold Shares NYSEARCA: GLD A possible agent to keep easy to use as well.
A journey occurs to safety
Paric gold today

Paric Gold
As of 05/13/2025 03:59 pm
- 52 weeks
- $ 17.98
▼
47.50 dollars
- Profit
- 2.20 %
- P/E ratio.
- 14.76
- The target price
- 24.05 dollars
Starting goldInvestors can see the indicator It exceeds the broader S&P 500 By up to 15 % During the past quarter alone.
This basic procedure is the initial factor that indicates the market’s willingness to get out of risk assets (such as stocks) and search for historical safety of gold in Times of uncertainty and volatility.
Another gold tracking topic is a $ 1.3 billion share that Vanguard Group has established in shares Barric Gold Company New York: B As of early May 2025.
This is a clear sign of attention from the Wall Street participants, where expectations are determined for more flows in gold during this potential decline in the S&P 500.
Staples Consumer SECT SPDR SPDR box today

Staples Staples Section SPDR Fund
As of 05/13/2025 04:10 pm
- 52 weeks
- 75.61 dollars
▼
84.53 dollars
- Profit
- 2.55 %
- Assets under management
- 15.86 billion dollars
But this is not the place where the journey ends in safety. More capital flows into Staples Staples Section SPDR Fund Nysearca: xlpWhere investors can see up to 952 million dollars in the institutional capital that has been published in this Defensive basket During the last quarter (which only consists of April and May 2025 until now).
On a broader economic basis, It seems that S&P 500 is one of the most expensive markets todayEspecially compared to other emerging markets such as China and Brazil, whose assessments are much lower.
According to stocks Market ratios to gross domestic productThe United States stands at 180 %While China and Brazil are in 67 % and 42 %respectively.
Given that this is the indicator Warren Buffett It follows more than others, and then it is called a name “Buffett Index,” It would be logical for investors to see the legendary value of the investor Sitting in a record amount of money For the past quarter without any new signs or intentions to buy stocks again any time soon.
Before you think about SPDR S & P 500 ETF TRUST, you will want to hear it.
Marketbeat follows the best research analyst at Wall Street, the best performance in Wall Street and the stocks they recommend to their customers on a daily basis. Marketbeat has selected the five shares whose senior analysts whispered quietly to their customers to buy now before wiping the broader market … and SPDR S & P 500 ETF TRUST was not in the list.
While SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST currently has a suspended classification between analysts, higher -rated analysts believe that these five stocks buy better.
Show the five stocks here
Today, we invite you to take a free peek on the ownership list, exclusive, and updated with 20 stocks who hate senior analysts in Wall Street.
Many of them seem to have good basics and may seem to be fine investments, but There is something wrong. The scent of analysts smells something serious about these companies. These are the real “strong sale” stocks.