Fast quantum computing breakthroughs intensify fears of Bitcoin security, where some experts now believe that the Q-Day day may reach a much closer to what he had previously thought.
David Carvalho, CEO of Naoris Protocol, warns that quantum computers may divide very safe algorithms within two to three years, where Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are found.
The global quantum race accelerates
The quantum sector progresses at an amazing pace. Governments and private companies are increasingly investing huge amounts to accelerate the following large technological penetration.
On Thursday, the South Korean government revealed its plan to invest about 650 billion WNA – more than 480 million dollars – more than eight years. This funding will enhance the country’s quantum technology capabilities, including high -performance computers.
Three days ago, the UK announced that it would adhere to more than $ 921 million to accelerate the application of quantum technology in various sectors, from energy to health care.
Such investments reflect a global phenomenon. The Q1 2025 report, issued by Quantum Insider, revealed a noticeable increase of 125 % in quantum technology investments compared to the previous year, exceeding $ 1.25 billion.
Meanwhile, technology itself has also become more advanced.
The quantitative threat to modern encryption
Current encryption, such as RSA, depends on non -solved sports problems for classic computers. Specifically, the RSA-2048, which is a standard 2048-bit of insurance vast online data, derives the force from the impossibility close to setting its huge numbers.
However, Qubits allows quantum algorithms such as the Shor algorithm to clarify large numbers efficiently, and to solve these “difficult” problems significantly.
Only last month, Google Quantum AI estimated that RSA-2048 could be broken in less than a week with less than a million quarter, which leads to a severe threat speeding.
So, to what extent we are away from seeing a quantum computer breaks the RSA-2048 encryption?
Main breakdowns quantitative warning
Last year, a group of Chinese researchers led by Wang Zhao of the University of Shanghai showed great progress in quantitative analysis. They used a special type of computer known as the D Quantum Annealer D-WAVE for the RSA 22-bit key worker.
This penetration has significantly exceeded the main maximum of 19 -bit, indicating the ability to expand quantum steel systems, exceeding the previously known limits with the continued improvement of analytical methods.
Carvalho highlights these developments to beincrypto:
“This encryption itself is not the safest, but what is terrifying is the speed that you made from 19 -bit to 22 bits. It is clear that it is just a matter of time so that quantum computers can separate from very safe algorithms, and this time has run out quickly. Nawress protocol.
It is not alone in emphasizing his proximity.
It urges leaders to prepare
Michelle Muska, Watt Waterlo University expert, previously expected one opportunity in seven, where the primary public key encryption can be broken by 2026. The technology entities and major banking services were, including IBM, Microsoft and Swift, now urgently recommended planning to transmit their encryption after hatred.
“Every day this is delayed, Internet criminals are close to penetrating every important system, and as soon as it is penetrated, it is never possible to restore what is lost. He is approaching comfort now,” Carvalho stressed.
However, how much is this immediate threat in practice? What do we really need to break the encryption?
Separate noise from reality
While breakthroughs such as Al -Awla on the RSA 22 -bit key are definitely great developments, they should be placed in their right perspective.
The 22-bit key, despite a 19-bit increase, is very different from the RSA-2048 fracture. The jump is not written. It is a significant increase in the complexity that requires many Qubits and a significant improved error.
RSA-2048 break on a practical schedule requires a coding quantum computer (CRQC).
Such a machine, capable of running the Shor algorithm with tolerance with adequate error and continuous operation for a few days, is still a huge obstacle. Many experts offer his arrival to the late thirties or outside.
However, the acceleration pace of quantum subscriptions requires immediate and pre-emptive planning to protect future Bitcoin security against an uninterrupted day-Q-Day.
Disintegration
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