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The encryption market is on a maximum alert before April 2, a history called by some analysts “the largest event per year by order of size.” The macroeconomic expert Alex Kerger (@krugermacro) warns that President Donald Trump’s upcoming announcement of the new mutual definitions can provide a seismic tremor to global markets – including encryption.
Why April 2 huge encryption
in mail Common to X, Krüger describes the advertisement that is looming on the horizon, which the President called “Tahrir’s Day”, as “10x more important than any FOMC meeting”: “April 2 is like the election night. It is the biggest event per year of size. 10x is more important than any FOMC, something that can happen.”
According to Krüger, Trump may choose one of the numerous tracks: “Trump may be soft, in which case the markets will collect quickly and tax. Or it can go in the middle of the road, adding uncertainty in the schedules, in which case the markets will take place in the stations of each long period and short pants. In this case, the markets can easily collide with 10 % to 15 %.”
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Krüger also suggests that “the American economy is still strong, but it is likely that it is very slow because of the tariffs regardless of the Trump’s path.” However, it is noted that many economists have already taken into account the slowdown at the end of the acute year. And it confirms that April 2 can represent the peak of the market anxiety, parallel to the arrival of the American tax day after just two weeks. “Either way, you all want to be ready and ready to work on” Editing Day “. It will be great.
Trump’s “Tahrir Day” is said to be focused on “mutual definitions” targeting specific countries or blocks that consider preserving unfair commercial barriers. Although this strategy appears to be “more targeted than the barrage that it sometimes threatened”, officials familiar with the matter believes that they may still prove long -term.
President Trump has repeatedly indicated that these definitions will be great. Quoting commercial discrepancies with countries such as the European Union, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Canada, India and China, it confirms that the United States is unfairly treated for a long time. In statements from the Oval Office, he announced: “April 2 will be the day of liberation of America. We have separated from every country in the world and a friend and enemy.”
The worst scenario
The assistants and allies point out that although some countries are excluded, Trump is looking for an immediate effect. Air tariff rates can become immediately, which increases the market fears of escalating revenge. In this case, Kruger says: “In the worst scenario will collide with the fan, the customs tariff will begin to go out with Trump’s strong negotiation the following month, and in this case the height of the peak will reach about the second week of April, which will coincide with the American tax day.”
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Senior officials, including the director of the National Economic Council, Kevin Haysit and Treasury Secretary, Scott Payette, indicated that the administration focuses on a group of “dirty 15” countries in which the definition and non -sharp barriers are claimed. “Not everyone deceives us on trade, it is just a few countries, and these countries will witness some customs tariffs.”
For the encryption market, global macroeconomic events have increasingly played a pivotal role in price movement in recent weeks. The “Liberation Day” Declaration on April 2 reaches a time when digital asset traders are already facing winds of monetary policy attacks and the slow global economy. Krüger believes that if the definitions are more soft, then “the markets will be collected quickly and tax.” On the other hand, the maximum tariff approach can provide a great shock, potentially encrypted currencies.
At the time of the press, the total ceiling of the encryption market reached $ 2.81 trillion.
Distinctive image from Istock, Chart from TradingView.com
