Bitcoin with an increase of 15 % per month, the analyst warns of the level of MVRV resistance
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Bitcoin is currently trading at $ 109,000, which represents a marginal decrease of 0.6 % over the past 24 hours. Despite this short -term decrease, the broader market is still intact, as Bitcoin recorded a 15 % increase during the past month.
This performance comes after BTC has set the highest new level ever with a slightly higher sign of $ 111,000 a few days ago, and its strong rising momentum continues to Q2 2025.
BURAK KESMECI, the contributor to the QuickTake platform for Cryptoquant, recently discussed the market value to the rate of value achieved (MVRV) in its latest analysis, “Bitcoin Mvrv: Will the long -term downward trend stop this time?”
The MVRV percentage compares the market value of Bitcoin with its achieved value, measures the profitability of its holders effectively and provides an insight into the market morale and potential transformation points.
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The percentage of MVRV is close to the decisive resistance
He has analysisKesmeci highlighted the importance of the simple moving average for 365 days (SMA365) as the MVRV scale. Historically, when MVRV crosses from Bitcoin and maintains a weekly closure on SMA365, it usually indicates ascending momentum.
Kesmeci presented the example from April 2025, when the MVRV SMA365 percentage exceeded the corresponding to the price of bitcoin from about 94,000 dollars to $ 111,000, after that, it set a new record.
Currently, MVRV 2.36, which is higher than the SMA365 level of 2.14. However, the analyst indicates a large resistance looming on the horizon at 2.93, a decisive historical level where the previous gatherings faced the opposite winds.
The next test in this resistance can indicate whether Bitcoin will maintain its upward path or experience a period of stability or correction. Kesmeci emphasized caution, indicating that merchants carefully monitor MVRV behavior, as approaching these levels often pushes market participants to re -evaluate risk.
Bitcoin retail investors remain absent with caution
Another factor that constitutes the conditions of the Bitcoin market is the noticeable lack of the retail investor. Kissimisi Note Although Bitcoin has achieved new standard levels in the second quarter of 2025, the retail investor, which is measured in the mobilization sizes in the smaller sects (less than $ 10,000), is still relatively defeated.
Although the Bitcoin prices remained strong, retail sizes have witnessed an increase in minimal increases, indicating that the current assembly is driven primarily by institutional investors or on a large scale.
Historically, the participation of the retail investor was a basic driver for the continuous bull markets, which increased the price movements paid by institutional investments at the beginning.
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Kesmeci notes that the previous major gatherings, such as those observed in 2020-2021, gained great momentum when retailers were actively joined. Consequently, the decisive and advanced side will be a retail sales activity.
Any increase in retail investments may stimulate more bitcoin estimates, enhance modern gains and pave the way to convert the broader market.
A distinctive image created with Dall-E, the tradingView chart