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Alcoa shares rise on profits, and the risk of tariffs is still cloud

Alcoa Corp. NYSE: AA A strong profit report submitted, but the arrow fell about 3 % in the morning after the first quarter profit report. The revenues of $ 3.37 billion were lighter than 3.58 billion dollars in which analysts predict. but, The arrow profit (EPS) of $ 2.15 in analysts estimated at 24 % of analysts’ estimates And more than 360 % above 81 cents per share on an annual basis.

Alcoa today

23.26 dollars -1.81 (-7.21 %)

As of 04/17/2025 03:59 pm

52 weeks
21.53 dollars

47.77 dollars

Profit
1.72 %

The target price
44.17 dollars

Because Alcoa is directly related to Current introductory disordersAnalysts and investors wanted to know how to deal with the company for its future directions. It is early in the profit season, but some companies have chosen not to issue instructions forward.

However, Alcoa did not issue guidance; He – she Re -confirm his current guidance For both aluminum and alumina. This comes although Alcoa expects the definitions to lead to an annual cost of $ 100 million for the company. This cost depends on approximately $ 20 million that the company incurred after a 25 % tariff on international aluminum imports in March, and an additional $ 90 million expected to bear in the next quarter.

According to the CEO of Alcoa (CEO) William Osbelinger, this is partly due to the strong demand in the first quarter caused by withdrawal. However, OPLLIRERER also noticed in an interview with CNBC that the company has a strong orders for the current quarter, allowing the company to maintain its current guidelines. However, investors have stated that the company will re -evaluate its guidelines at the end of the current quarter.

This is a puzzle without an easy solution

the Trump is a tariff policy The perceived goal is to manufacture the beach in the United States. But OPLELIRER I made it clear that it would be practical for Alcoa moves to increase American manufacturing based on only customs tariff policy, which may change.

today, The United States imports more than 4 million metric tons of aluminumMostly from Canada. As Oblingger stated, the United States must build at least five new fans to close its aluminum trade deficit.

This will take from 7 to 10 years, billions of dollars, and amazingly high in power, which the company said will be equivalent to seven nuclear reactors. OPLENGER added that at the present time, the most efficient aluminum supply chain is that Canadian aluminum is flowing to the United States.

This is the answer that the Trump administration wants to hear, which is why some analysts still believe that there will be a positive solution to counter the current tariff.

A group of options make Alcoa shares a difficult purchase

Alcoa stock expectations today

The stock price expectations for 12 months:
44.17 dollars
Moderate purchase
Based on 12 analyst classifications
The current price 23.26 dollars
High expectations 90.00 dollars
Average expectations 44.17 dollars
Low expectations $ 25.00

The expected details of the shares of Alaua

Like many industrial stocks, Alcoa faces an unconfirmed outlook in the short term to the average. The most difficult part of investors to struggle with them is that the solutions are not in the company’s control.

Current tariff environment It makes it difficult to recommend the shares as a purchase. However, there is still a non -zero chance to turn favorable in the tariff policy, which Alcoa shares can be sent sharply.

The Options Series of Alcoa in July 2025, which coincides with the end of the temporary stop for 90 days, indicates that analysts believe that Alcoa can reach $ 22.50 or a height of $ 30. Traders can do this as they do.

Alcoa has taken steps to reduce its net debt during the quarter, and these efforts may lead to strong capital returns in the future. In fact, the expected analyst at Marketbeat is still giving Alcoa moderate purchase Classification The purpose of the consensus price is $ 45.

But with profit distributions that pay only 40 cents for the share on an annual basis, there are not many incentives for investors to take a long position. This is not an accusation of Alcoa’s work; It is just the truth of the company’s uncertainty.

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