The Australian dollar is declining as the US dollar is trying to recover the last losses
- The Australian dollar remains lukewarm after the release of the monthly consumer price index.
- He met the representative of international trade in China and the Deputy Minister of Commerce with American business leaders to discuss the definitions.
- The Trump administration is studying the controls for the export of chip on China.
The Australian dollar (AUD) remains defeated against the US dollar (USD) for the fourth consecutive day on Wednesday. The AUD/USD pair remains under pressure after the monthly consumer price index (CPI) showed an increase of 2.5 % year on year in January, which corresponds to the December increase. This is less than market expectations for 2.6 % growth.
The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced on Wednesday that the international commercial representative in the country and the deputy minister of trade, Wang Shwin, met with American business leaders. Discussions focused primarily on the customs tariff, although other details were not disclosed.
Bloomberg’s report revealed early on Tuesday that the Trump administration is planning to tighten the controls of the export of chips on China, a major trading partner in Australia. According to the United States, the United States is taught tougher restrictions on the exports of NVIDIA chips and has provided additional restrictions on Chinese companies such as SMIC and CXMT.
The AUD/USD husband is fighting amid the growing feelings of risk after US President Donald Trump late on Monday stated that the American tariff for imports from Canada and Mexico “will advance” once the implementation of the implementation ends for a month next week. Trump confirmed that the United States “benefited from foreign countries” from the United States and reaffirmed that the so -called mutual definitions.
The Australian dollar decreases amid the increasing risk hatred
- The US dollar index (DXY), which measures the dollar against six main currencies, decreased to nearly 106.00 with two years and 10 years revenue on US Treasury bonds to 4.09 % and 4.28 %, respectively, at the time of this report.
- Chicago Austan Golsby, head of the Federal Reserve, commented on Monday that the US Central Bank needs greater clarity before considering interest rate discounts.
- The US Participants Index fell to 50.4 in February, a decrease from 52.7 in the previous month. On the contrary, the Manufacturer Participation Index rose to 51.6 in February 51.2 in January, exceeding 51.5 expectations. Meanwhile, the Service Manager Index decreased to 49.7 in February 52.9 in January, less than 53.0 expected.
- The unemployed demands for the American initial work for the week ended February 14 to 219,000, exceeding 215,000 expected. Meanwhile, the unemployed demands increased to 1.869 million, slightly less than 1.87 million.
- President Trump signed a memorandum on Friday to direct the Foreign Investment Committee in the United States (CFIUS) to reduce Chinese investments in the strategic sectors. Reuters cited a White House official, saying that the National Security Memorandum is seeking to encourage foreign investment while protecting US national security interests from possible threats represented by foreign opponents such as China.
- China issued a 2025 annual policy statement on Sunday. Details of the statement strategies to enhance rural reforms and enhance comprehensive rural activation. In addition, the developers supported by the state in China increases the territorial purchases strongly at distinct prices, driven by the government to restrict home prices to stimulate the turbulent real estate market.
- The Chinese People’s People’s Bank (PBOC) is 300 billion yuan on Tuesday via a one -year -old lending facility (MNF), while maintaining the rate by 2 %. In addition, PBOC CNY318.5 billion by a seven -day reverse days by 1.50 %, in line with the previous rate.
- The Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) has reduced the official money price (OCR) by 25 basis points to 4.10 % last week – the first interest in four years. The Australian Governor of the Australian Reserve (RBA) acknowledged the influence of high interest rates, but he warned that it was too early to declare victory over inflation. The labor market force also confirmed that the price cuts in the future are not guaranteed, despite the market expectations.
The Australian dollar moves towards the EMA barrier for 14 days after it decreases to less than 0.6350
AUD/USD is trading near 0.6340 on Wednesday, reducing the emerging canal that reflects the bias of the weak upward market. However, the 24 -day relative index (RSI) remains higher than 50, which supports positive expectations.
On the upper side, the AUD/USD pair tests the immediate barrier on a nine -day SIA moving average (EMA) from 0.6342. It can improve a successful break above this level of short -term price and support for the pair in the main psychological resistance test at 0.6400, with the next obstacle at the upper limits of the emerging canal about 0.6450.
The AUD/USD pair tests immediate support in EMA for 14 days from 0.6331. The decisive rest to this level may lead to the emergence of a decreased bias and lead to a 0.6300 psychological level test.
Aud/USD: Daily Chart
Australian dollar price today
The table below shows the percentage of change in the Australian dollar (AUD) against the main currencies listed today. The Australian dollar was the weakest against the US dollar.
| US dollar | euro | GBP | JPY | CAD | Aud | Nzd | Chf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US dollar | 0.09 % | 0.11 % | 0.36 % | 0.04 % | 0.18 % | 0.11 % | 0.07 % | |
| euro | -0.09 % | 0.03 % | 0.27 % | -06 % | 0.09 % | 0.02 % | -02 % | |
| GBP | -11 % | -0.03 % | 0.23 % | -08 % | 0.06 % | -0.00 % | -04 % | |
| JPY | -0.36 % | -0.27 % | -0.23 % | -0.32 % | -18 % | -26 % | -0.28 % | |
| CAD | -04 % | 0.06 % | 0.08 % | 0.32 % | 0.14 % | 0.08 % | 0.05 % | |
| Aud | -18 % | -0.09 % | -06 % | 0.18 % | -0.14 % | -05 % | -0.09 % | |
| Nzd | -11 % | -02 % | 0.00 % | 0.26 % | -08 % | 0.05 % | -04 % | |
| Chf | -07 % | 0.02 % | 0.04 % | 0.28 % | -05 % | 0.09 % | 0.04 % |
The heat map shows the percentage changes in the main currencies against each other. The basic currency is chosen from the left column, while the quotation currency is chosen from the top row. For example, if you choose the Australian dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US dollar, the percentage offered in the box will represent AUD (Base)/USD (Quote).
Questions and answers in Australian dollars
One of the most important factors for the Australian dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Australian Reserve Bank (RBA). Since Australia is a resource -rich country, the other main engine is the largest export price, iron ore. The health of the Chinese economy, and the largest commercial partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, the rate of growth and trade is a balance. Market morale-whether investors are eating more risky assets (risk) or searching for safe materials (risk)-is also a worker, with positive risks for AUD.
The Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) affects the Australian dollar (AUD) by determining the level of interest rates that Australian banks can persuade each other. This affects the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3 % by setting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates are supported compared to other main central banks, and relatively low vice versa. RBA can also use and tighten quantitative dilution to influence credit conditions, with previous AUD negative and positive to AUD.
China is the largest commercial partner in Australia, so the health of the Chinese economy is a major impact on the value of the Australian dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy does a good job, it buys more raw materials, commodities and services from Australia, raising the demand for AUD, and raising its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy does not grow at the speed available. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, they often have a direct impact on the Australian dollar and its wives.
Iron Ore is the largest export in Australia, as it represents 118 billion dollars annually according to data from 2021, with China as its main destination. Therefore, the price of iron ore can be an engine for the Australian dollar. In general, if the price of iron ore rises, the AUD also rises, as the total demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of iron ore decreases. Iron ore prices also tend to increase the possibility of a positive commercial balance for Australia, which is also positive for AUD.
The commercial balance, which is the difference between what a country gains from its exports in exchange for what it pays to its imports is another factor that can affect the value of the Australian dollar. If Australia produces very required after exports, its currency will obtain a value of the excess demand created from foreign buyers who seek to buy its exports in exchange for what it spends to buy imports. Therefore, the positive net trade balance enhances AUD, with the opposite effect if the trade balance is negative.
