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Bitcoin 4 years CAGR rebound to 31 % -168 thousand dollars by October?

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Bitcoin maintains more than the main support levels as it continues to integrate slightly less than the highest level at $ 112,000 ever. Despite the construction of the bullish momentum through the broader encryption market, BTC struggled to restore this decisive resistance level, while merchants maintained the edge of the abyss. Analysts agree that a decisive outbreak is needed to confirm the bullish trend and indicate the start of the new expansion phase.

According to the data on the series of Cryptoquant, the recent recovery in the 4 -year -old annual growth rate (CAGR) is highlighted in the long -term market morale. After collapsing to only 7 % in April – the compressed margins and the fatigue of the cycle – the rate of the domiciles now turned out to about 31 %, which is located in what analysts consider the “strong area”. This recovery came when the BTC price rose about $ 110,000 by May – June 2025, which resulted in the revival of the continuous upward trend.

Although the current growth rate remains 50-80 % less than the historical cycle peaks, the market structure and dynamics in the chain indicate that there is still a great room for climbing treatment. Since Bitcoin carries the stability of the Earth’s conditions and settles in the market, the stage may be assigned to a decisive process – one can confirm the bullish direction and the leadership of BTC to discover prices again.

Bitcoin is preparing to discover prices while enhancing the basics

Bitcoin is about to enter prices, with assets trading slightly less than height near $ 112,000. After weeks of monotheism and fixed decline, this week may be decisive to the entire encryption market. The collapse above the resistance would indicate the start of a new and explosive stage, while the decline to sweep liquidity below remains a risk if the kiosks of momentum. Either way, the market is preparing for a big step.

This critical moment comes amid total economic uncertainty. The American economy continues to show signs of systemic stress, driven by the high revenue of treasury, sticky inflation, and geopolitical tensions. Despite these opposite winds, the Bitcoin structure is still strong, supported by improving long -term basics.

Senior analysts Axel Adler Common visions From Cryptoquant, referring to a recovery in the 4 -year -old annual growth rate (CAGR). After it decreased to only 7 % in April – with a strongly compressed market – the bond growth rate stumbled to 31 % by June 2025, and what Adler calls the “strong area”. This recovery coincided with Bitcoin climbing about 110,000 dollars, which enhances the upward feelings.

Secular Bitcoin evaluation and margin driver Source: Axel Adler on x
Secular Bitcoin evaluation and margin driver source: Axel Adler on X

While 31 % are still less than the historical Cagrs from 50 to 80 %, Adler notes that the background is favorable. If the momentum continues in the futures market and leverage market in construction, it offers that Bitcoin may reach $ 168,000 early in October 2025. At the present time, all eyes are in the next step for BTC because which one disintegrates, it is likely to specify the tone for the rest of the year.

BTC merges below ATH: The market is waiting for the next step

Bitcoin is currently trading at $ 107,259 on the daily chart after a 1.31 % decline of resistance level of $ 109,300. The BTC basic procedure is a range of 103,600 dollars (support) and 109,300 dollars (resistance), with multiple rejection operations from the upper border. Nevertheless, Bitcoin continues to stick to the simple moving average for 50 days (SMA) at 102,998 dollars, indicating that the broader upward trend is still sound at the present time.

BTC merge below ATH | Source: BTCUSDT scheme on TradingView
BTC merge below ATH | source: BTCUSDT CHART on Tradingview

This unification comes after the BTC recovered sharply from the subsidy area of ​​$ 103,600 earlier this month. The structure is still constructive, but bulls need to restore and retain a level of 109,300 dollars to challenge the highest level of $ 112,000 ever and pay for prices. Failure to do this can re -test 103,600 dollars, as liquidity is likely to be concentrated.

The size remains relatively stable, although it is slightly decreased in this last leg, which allows the momentum to be cooling. However, as long as BTC keeps higher than the main moving averages and does not close less than $ 103,600, the bullish structure is preserved.

Distinctive image from Dall-E, the tradingView graph

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