Arthur Hayes does not care when bitcoin predictions are completely wrong

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of Bitmex, and billionaire Bitcoin, is famous for the predictions of large and bold bitcoin prices-sometimes controversial-and she says she is not overcome when he makes mistakes.

“Nothing really happens,” Hayes says to a magazine, who asked whether he was worried about the violent reaction when his predictions are deviated from Bitcoin.

Winning or losing, Hayes does not sweat his calls

The smallest billionaire of African American origin in history is the first to admit that most of its price calls are not landing. “I have made a mistake, and most of them made a mistake.”

“I don’t know why people hesitate to do this; it really doesn’t matter at the end of the day.”

“If you are in general, you are fine,” adds the 40 -year -old banker.

Hayes in advance with his calls. It does not hide them if it is right or wrong.

In September, Hayes-who is now the chief investment official of the VC company, who participated in its establishment, and the Memstrom Fund-made a huge call in the short term on Bitcoin, and linked it to the Japanese sliding Balin. However, things did not reveal as it was expected during the very weekend, and Bitcoin was strong.

Clean playing to Hayes. Later Owned In x, post, “I was wrong”.

“It is time to trade some Memecoins Dogshit”. Likewise, on March 24, Hayes He said This bitcoin will reach $ 110,000 before re -testing 76,500 dollars. But after only one month, on April 9, Bitcoin sank to $ 76,500.

Of course, credit where it is; Hayes also gets it properly. In December, Hayes Propagate Chevir and “Selling of evil” declined after the opening of US President Donald Trump on January 20 … and was immediately.

Perhaps because over the years, Bitcoin Og, who was raised in New York, has developed a very secret way to reach the end of the end of the year:

“Choose round numbers that humans love.”

Hayes Hold Strong on summoning bitcoin worth $ 2025

His last call is that Bitcoin will reach $ 250,000 by the end of this year and it is confident that Bitcoin will not see another $ 70,000 on the way there.

“I don’t really see that there is a kind of big bilateral risk at the present time that can frighten the markets, and people will get rid of the risks that will reach these levels again any time soon,” says Hayes.

However, Hayes is not on board with high -end bitcoin calls with a value of $ 1 million that some bitcoin devices, such as Jun3 Samson MWW, I think it is possible by the end of the year.

“I think this will happen before the end of 2028, I don’t think this will happen this year,” says Hayes.

However, it is not rushing to make any short -term predictions any time soon. “I don’t know, we will see, it really depends,” he says. “I usually try to make these if there is a preparation where everyone thinks in one direction and I think another way,” he says.

Unlike most of the commercial wild geniuses on Crypto X, Hayes is actually known for its purposes – it graduates from the University of Pennsylvania in 2008 with a Bachelor’s degree in the economy. Just six years later, in 2014, he was only 28 years old when he co -founded Crypto Giant Bitmex derivatives alongside Ben Delo and Samuel Reed.

Hayes is reflected in the period of home detention in his life

In 2020, Hayes stepped from Bitmex after the US Department of Justice, along with DELO, Reed and Gregory DWYER, was accused of violating the bank’s secret law.

Hayes and Delo acknowledged that he was guilty in February 2022, acknowledging that they “intentionally fail[ed] To create, implement and maintain the anti -money laundering program “on the stock exchange.

He ended up spending six months in detention at home, confined to his home. It was a difficult time, but Hayes also saw the positives.

“I absorbed the need to be one place that you could not leave and all for six months, but I was in Miami; fortunately, it was not the prison cell,” Hayes laughs.

In March, US President Donald Trump pardoned the former four executives in Beit in Pitlex.

Despite the entire legal chaos, Hayes is still one of the most respectable bitcoin workers in the world. He dealt with celebrities in the A list of encryption conferences, and even with his busy record or walking, people still have serious attention when he predicts prices.

Hayes now lives life with its own conditions

Hayes can carry bold predictions because, unlike many CEOs for encryption who are committed to safe predictions, it is indeed a living life of a living billionaire according to his own conditions.

This was the Hayes plan all the time.

“I have always entered this game in an attempt to control my time,” he says. Hayes admits his life very comfortable at the present time. He says: “I work like two to three hours a day, read many books, and then, as you know, I write here and there.”

While Hayes is lifting the heavy lifting in the gym, he says that his team in the Maelstrom box is raising most of the heavy company, “roaming the world to do decent things.”

He admits that he works here and there for the box, but he loves to live in high life.

“I know that I am completely happy because, as you know, on tennis when I want to go to ski, all the kind of things,” he says, adding:

“It is not really the number of bitcoin currencies that I have or how much you know, as you know, in my bank account or in my wallet. It is really, as you know, can I pay for my friends or go to skiing for six months if you want it.”

Will the United States government buy Bitcoin?

It was only appropriate to ask Hayes about his numerical prediction for the US government, which already buys Bitcoin for the strategic bitcoin reserve, which Trump signed in March.

“I would like to say it is a 1 % chance,” he says.

He adds: “I am still from the same opinion that they will not sell Bitcoin 200,000 who seized them, but I do not see the US government’s money to buy bitcoin.”

Even if other countries adopt the Bitcoin Reserve, Hayes say that 200,000 BTC is already worth “how many billions of dollars”. Therefore, from the perspective of the United States, it may not lead to much FOMO compared to other countries.

“It is possible that anyone else has a similar amount, but they dispensed with it. So I think the two countries will most likely lead to compensation for the bitcoin instead of printing the money and then going to printed funds and buying bitcoin, assuming that it is a unable nation.”

“It is a little different if you already generate income as a nation,” he says.

Surprisingly, Hayes was never an advocate of the American Bitcoin Reserve. On May 1, Hayes said in an interview that “it is not really in the entire strategic reserve position.”

At that time, he said it is difficult to imagine any “correctly elected” politician publicly declares that the government plans to print money to buy bitcoin when the popular narration is a group of Bitcoin Bros going to the club. “

Treasury companies in Bitcoin will become “less important”

Hayes also shared his expectations for the Bitcoin companies of the Treasury, equal that the latest companies will become more extravagant.

“I think they will become less important and less important because these deals become more saturated,” says Hayes.

“Each of these cabinet companies, at least if it is in a market that already has one, it does not do it well, but it is difficult to generate an unexplained accumulation of bitcoin,” explains Hayes.

He says that most of the treasury companies will make rights to reduce the property rate per share, then use revenue to buy bitcoin, which is a “very reduced strategy.”

“It is difficult to continue to repeat this, especially in a saturated market like the United States, and perhaps in other markets where Micostrategy does not exist, then you will be able to do this several times,” he says.

Bitcoin’s investment funds will excel the treasury companies in Bitcoin

Hayes is more difficult about the boxes circulating in Bitcoin exchange. However, it has no prediction of the amount of money that will flow into the investment funds circulating at the end of the year.

“I think he will continue to get flows just because it is the easiest way for anyone, like traditional assets, to spread encryption,” says Hayes.

“There is no need to worry about custody. It is one to one repetition.”

It is expected that since the fund managers trust the investment funds circulating in Bitcoin – and more organizers and banks allow money to invest in them – they “are clearly absorbing capital” away from Bitcoin.

As a retail sale [investor]and [they’ll be thinking] Well, another lollipop will pay a installment to do the simplest thing in buying bitcoin. “

What is the largest unknown to Bitcoin?

When asked if he sees any risks in the near -term price of bitcoin, Hayes refers to the possibility of conflict all over the world.

“It is clear, if there is a kind of world war,” says Hayes. But if the World War erupted widely, it is not sure whether the price will rise or decrease.

“Bitcoin can work well or can do very badly. Who knows what will happen in this situation?” Hayes says.

It brushes the common fear between many bitcoin devices that quantum computing can break the security of bitcoin.

“I think there are a lot of people focusing on this particular problem that I don’t think this will eventually be a problem with Bitcoin,” he says.

Subscribe

The most attractive readings in Blockchain. It was delivered once a week.

Ciaran Lyon

Ciaran Leon is an Australian encryption journalist. It is also a Standop comedy and was radio and television on Triple J and SBS and the project.