“American stocks that are likely to open less after autumn for 3 days:” the possibility of shares has not yet extended.
Futures in the United States fell on Monday after three consecutive days of decline on Friday. Futures for major standard indicators were less in the pre -market trade.
The shares decrease as investors are waiting on the mutual tariff day on April 2. This is called “Liberation Day” by the American President Donald Trump.
Goldman Sachs expected, in his last note, that there will be 35 % of the risk of stagnation and mutual definitions of 15 % in all trade partners in the United States, although the exceptions of the product and the country can weaken the addition of the average tariff rate in the United States to 9 degrees Celsius.
The stock market ended the month of March and the first quarter in a approximate note. As of Friday, the Nasdaq 100 index was 13.24 % of the previous level. S&P 500 was 9.22 % less than the record level, and Dow Jones decreased by 7.74 % than 52 weeks.
With a 10 -year treasury yield of 4.63 % and 2 years at 3.88 %, Fedwatch Group CME tool Market prices appear at the possibility of 82.1 % of the federal reserve to maintain current interest rates through its meeting in May.
Futures | Change (+/-) |
Nasdak 100 | -1.24 % |
S & P 500 | -0.85 % |
Dow Jones | -57 % |
Russell 2000 | -1.08 % |
the SPDR S & P 500 ETF TRUST spy and Investco QQQ TRust ETF QQqWhich follows the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 index, respectively, decreased in Premarket on Friday. The spy decreased by 0.71 % to $ 551.70, while QQQ 1.16 % decreased to $ 463.49, according to L. Benzinga Pro Data.
Sermon from the last session:
Most sectors at the S&P 500 on Friday ended in red, with the consumer appreciation, telecommunications and information technology that spreads more severe losses. On the other hand, the facilities outperformed, with the closure of the session higher despite the weakness of the broader market.
In addition to market tensions, the preferred inflation scale for the Federal Reserve and the basic personal consumption price index increased by 2.8 % on an annual basis in February, which exceeds 2.7 % expectations.
Anxiety in the investor was more provided by surveying the University of Michigan for consumers, which revealed a leap in the forecast of inflation for a period of 5 years to 4.1 %, which represents the highest level since February 1993.
In corporate profits, R Corp air The shares decreased by more than 16 % after the company reported the Miss Miss Sales of the Third Quarter.
index | Performance (+/-) | value |
Nasdak | -2.70 % | 17,322.99 |
S & P 500 | -1.97 % | 5580.94 |
Dow Jones | -1.69 % | 41,583.90 |
Russell 2000 | -2.05 % | 2,023.27 |
Visions of analysts:
With the passage of the history of “mutual definitions” or “liberation day”, as President Trump calls it approaching, Louis Navily Navellier & Associas says that there are many investors who should be excited in April.
“In general, despite the persistent deviations of the tariff, after” liberation day “, I expect economic optimism to rise steadily in the coming months. The profits of the strong companies continuous and low interest rates are a strong punch that is expected to fall and pay economic growth significantly.”
However, Goldman Sachs increased the possibility of American recession from 20 % to 35 % in his last note.
Christian Muller-SmmeranHe said that the researcher of allocating the leading assets in Goldman Sachs warned that the risk of further correction of the market was still waving on the horizon in the United States “the possibility of shares withdrawal has not yet reached its climax.”
The factors that support Goldman Sachs’s view include research that market correction increases the following:
- The expectations of its model have indicated that the risk has increased since January and has not yet indicated the peak of the possibility of continuing declines.
- The background of the weak total economy, as well as withdrawing the shares, indicates that the market has not yet found.
- The risk appetite index, which measures the feelings of investors, remains higher than the “-2” threshold, which historically indicates an absent policy in the market or potential economic transformations, indicating that a strong opportunity has not yet appeared.
- The wonderful seven technology shares, which play a major role in the confidence of the retail investor, have witnessed noticeable decreases, and may affect more weakness in these shares.
- European and Chinese stocks, which are currently outperforming the United States, have led historically at the beginning, but eventually followed the United States during the wider market corrections, indicating that the deeper contraction in the United States can reduce global markets.
Mueler-Glismmann notes major restrictions on its shares ’cloud model: no factor in political attacks. “If President Trump or the Federal Reserve conducted a large political axis, the markets can recover faster,” he said.
See also: How to trade futures contracts
Next economic data
Here is what investors will look at this week:
- On Monday, March Chicago Business Barometr (PMI) will be released by 9:45 am Each time.
- On Tuesday, Richmond Federal Reserve Chairman Thomas Parkin It will speak at 9:00 am Each time.
- The March S & Pinal Us Manufacturing Index will be issued by 9:45 am.
- Building spending will be released in February, job openings, and ISM manufacturing data in March by 10:00 am ET, and the time for car sales data has not yet been set.
- On Wednesday, ADP employment data will be displayed in March by 8:15 am Each time.
- February factory orders will be released at 10:00 am.
- Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kogerer He will speak at 4:30 pm East time.
- On Thursday, the initial emotional claims will be released for the week ending March 29, and American trade deficit data in February at 8:30 am.
- March S & P Final Us Services and ISM services will be announced between 9:45 and 10:00 am Each time.
- Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson He will speak at 12:30 pm, and the Fed Lisa Cook Governor will speak at 2:30 pm Each time.
- On Friday, the US March recruitment report, unemployment rate, and wage data will be shown by 8:30 am.
- Chairman of the Board of Directors Jerome Powell He will speak at 11:25 am Each time.
- Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr He will speak at noon, and the ruler will nourish Christopher Wal It will speak at 12:45 pm East time.
Stocks focus:
- PVH Corp. PVH 0.66 % fell on the market on Monday before its profits after the closing bell. Analysts expect a quarterly profit of $ 3.22 per share at 2.34 million dollars.
- Progress Software Corp. PRGS It decreased by 0.31 %, as Wall Street expects to reach a quarterly profit of $ 1.06 per share at revenues of 235.63 million dollars after the closing bell.
- Loar Holdings Inc. Lap 1.64 % decreased before its profits before the opening bell. Analysts expect quarterly profits of 10 cents per share at revenues of $ 102.54 million.
- Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. BW It increased by 1.27 %, as Wall Street expects to reach a quarterly loss of the share for $ 213.07 million after the closing bell.
- Xos inc. xos It jumped 9.01 %, with its revenues increased 2024 to $ 56 million, compared to $ 44.5 million in 2023. The company acquired 297 units in 2024, an increase of 283 units in the previous year.
- Aciren Corp. Tick 37.78 % fell after revenue missed and reported a net loss of $ 105.5 million for 2024, mainly due to the costs of transactions for one time. Completely modified Ebitda increased by 11.5 % to $ 186.7 million, with margins improved to 17.0 % of 15.9 % in 2023.
- Treasure Global Inc. TGL 47.50 % increased as it announced plans to develop and spread the advanced cloud infrastructure in Malaysia, capable of supporting trilliona, last week.
- Pharmaceuticals Inc. Dictionary LXRX It increased by 1.38 % because it signed an exclusive global license deal with Novo Nordisk A/S. NVO For orally uneven drug in the category, for metabolic disorders and metabolic disorders. The agreement includes up to one billion dollars of potential payments, with $ 75 million in advance and in the near -term landmarks
Goods and gold markets and global stock markets:
Futures for crude oil was traded in the early New York session by 0.74 % to hover about $ 69.87 a barrel.
The US dollar provided 1.24 % of the American gold to hover about 3,122.41 dollars an ounce. Its new record reached an increase of $ 3,127.88 an ounce. The US dollar index spot was 0.05 % lower at 103.997.
Asian markets were closed in a lesser note on Monday. CSI 300, Chinese, S&P BSE Sensex, Hong Kong Hang Sing, South Korea Kosby, Japanese Nikki 225, and ASX 200 ASX in Australia. European markets were less in early trade.
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