3 rising signs indicate a large Q2 for Bitcoin (BTC)

TL; D

• Historical trends, post -half momentum, and interest rate discounts are compatible with the potential United States in favor of BTC recovery in Q2.
• The high number of whales can increase the sense of morale in the market and push renewed demand for the initial cryptocurrency.

What can play a positive role?

Bitcoin (BTC) began the year on the right foot and rose to the highest level at all times at about $ 110,000 in mid -January. His record coincided with the inauguration of Donald Trump as President of 47 America. Since then, though, the origin has been in a clear declining direction, short Less than $ 77,000 in March and currently Trading of about $ 84,000 (per Coingecko data).

Some important factors, however, indicate that BTC may face a great return during The second quarter of the year.

For beginners, let’s study how the original performance was during the second quarter of previous years. Coinglass data He appears BTC has made solid gains in seven of the last time Twelve seconds Quarters.

The half that happened in the spring of 2024 may play a role, as the Q2 witnessed the year that followed the event a significant increase. BTC’s evaluation increased by more than 120 % in the second quarter of 2017, but was red in 2013 and 2021.

The assets were only twice a year with two consecutive reds during the 2018 and 2022 bear markets. Given the fact that BTC ended Q1 2025 with a decrease of 11.82 %, date indicates a different path in Q2.

The second element that can lead to the BTC gathering in the following months is possible Reducing the interest rate in the United States. Federal Reserve Retain The standard is unchanged after FOMC meetings this year.

However, there are some hints that the US Central Bank will reduce the percentage in some of them the next Groups. According to For polymarket, the possibilities of this occur during the FOMC meeting in June is about 53 %.

Reducing interest rates makes borrowing cheaper. This, in turn, can push investors towards the most dangerous assets with higher return capabilities, such as BTC.

The leading digital assets can also get a batch in the event of a peace treaty or some escalation between Ukraine and Russia. Remember that The two countries have been in war since February 2022. However, US President Donald Trump has repeatedly said that he would try to negotiate the ceasefire and mediation in the conflict.

Last month, it is Holding talks With Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukraine leader Voludimir Zelinski to discuss a possible peace agreement between enemies. The talks failed to produce the expected result, as the road to peace is expected to be long. However, positive developments on this front can lead to uncertainty in the market and future gains.

The reward: the return of whales

Another factor that may contribute to the BTC gathering in the short term, which is the last activity between whales. like Cryptopotato I mentionedThe number of portfolios that bear between 1000 and 10,000 BTC to 1993 – the highest level since the end of last year.

An increase in such older bearers generally indicates strong confidence and potential upscarcase momentum. However, traders must put that if the whales decide to sell collectively, they can dump the market by increasing the supply and lead to a significant decrease in prices, especially if the demand fails to keep pace with this.