2025 turns into another year full of challenges for the ECPON (NASDAQ: RIVN), with its stock mainly in red due to the lack of strong stimuli to attract investors.
Rivian shares have decreased throughout the year more than 18 %, and currently traded at $ 10.75. The shares have gained 1.3 % modest in the last session, but the $ 20 resistance remains a major level for investors.
On March 16, trading expert The market is Mistro Note This Rivian hovering around decisive support at $ 10, with technical indicators indicating a possible outbreak in the event of improved macroeconomic conditions.
The analysis indicated that the arrow remains besieged under the long -term declining direction, with a break over the condolence resistance and 23.6 % re -fibonache signs.
However, it has warned that the high interest rate environment for the Federal Reserve and the continued tightening of growth prospects could affect the EV stock. In addition to uncertainty, Donald Trump’s policy may increase the long -term expectations of Rivian.
Basics of rural stocks
It should be noted that RIVN conflicts continue despite the company’s great progress, especially financially. For example, Rivian defeated the fourth quarter profits and reported its total separation profit of $ 170 million, a main scale.
The company aims to “profit modestly” in 2025, but it did not expect GAAP profit. It is expected that the modified losses to $ 1.7 to $ 1.9 billion from $ 2.69 billion in 2024. Revenue’s fourth quarter revenues amounted to $ 1.73 billion, exceeding $ 1.4 billion, while its net loss decreased to 743 million dollars from 1.52 billion dollars a year ago.
Meanwhile, analysts plan Rivian revenues in the first quarter, a decrease of 17.47 % on an annual basis, but they expect a leap of 22.59 % to $ 1.42 billion in the second quarter. The entire 2025 revenue is expected 5.39 billion dollars, an increase of 8.38 % on an annual basis, with an increase of 2026 to 7.48 billion dollars, by 38.87 %.
At the same time, for long -term investors, there may be an opportunity although the company that expects 2025 is slow. Delivera operations are expected to range between 46,000 and 51,000 units, a decrease from 51,579 in 2024. In particular, the addition to the possible potential winds of the EV maker is the fact that there will be no new model in 2025 until next year.
Some growth incentives include expanding commercial sales outside Amazon, with increasing interest from companies looking to break their fleets. Unique partnerships, such as Ben & Jerry’s Electric Ice Cream, point to the wide potential to connect.
In addition, the Strong RIVAN RIVAN product pipeline, including the upcoming R2, R3 and R3X models, has been set to advance growth in the future. The R2, which is launched in 2026, will be more affordable and expand the company, including international sales.
Wall Street sets the price of the rural shares
Although the basics of Rivian seem mixed, a section of Wall Street stresses that the stockpile has some bullish capabilities in the next 12 months. Specifically, 21 analysts in Wall Street in Tipranks The average RIVN price was set at $ 14.34, by 33.4 % of the current evaluation. Estimates range widely, with $ 23 and less than $ 6.10.
Analysts generally have a “suspension” classification, with six “buying” and only three they suggest “selling”.
Among the analysts, on March 6, 2025, ITay Michaeli from TD Cowen began with the “Hold” classification, the goal of $ 12.70 on RIVN, noting that there are no incentives in the short term due to guidance in the size of 2025 in the first place, and later directions, and later directions, the automatic expectations later, and a decrease at the end Ultimately decline, ultimately discharge, ultimately decrease, and discharge. Feelings.
Daniel Royceka, Bernstein’s analyst, is more downward, with a “weak -performance” rating on February 27, with a goal of $ 6.10. Rivian is expected to miss its goals to improve the year 2024, citing high losses for each vehicle and slow growth.
On February 25, Adam Jonas, Morgan Stanley analyst, stated that there is an alternative aspect in favor of Rivian Beyond Car Manufacturing, indicating that AI’s self -government technology may be a major revenue engine. While RIVAN’s financial conflicts, the most prominent software and services sector of one billion dollars, has confessed to VW, and the potential role in independent vehicle race.
On the same date, Barclays’ Dan Levy maintained a “equal weight” rating, raising its target price to $ 14. It expects more fluctuations in 2025, warning that the growing challenges of the EV market in China and the broader industry pressures will continue.
Distinctive image via Shutterstock
